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Adam Acosta
Imagine a graduating class of 100 students. 20 of these are great coders, 60 middling, 20 are terrible.
Imagine 10 employers, each searching for 20 employees.
100 people applying for 200 jobs. In the first, those 20 great coders get scooped up right away to the first job they apply for. As soon as they’re gone, the 60 middling coders are going right behind them, let’s say on average to their third choice. Now what happens? There are 20 people left, applying for 120 jobs. Each of these is fed up with the job search and applies to every job, which is 2,400 resumes being sent out. Assume this results in 240 interviews. Because these people are terrible, none of these goes well.
To review, 100 people. 20 only interviewed once. 60 interviewed an average of three times. 20 interviewed 12 times each. That’s 80 positive interviews resulting in offers, 120 lukewarm interviews where the employer told the candidate to review a few things and try again, and 2,400 interviews in which the candidate had no clue what they were doing.
Is this what’s happening? I don’t know, but it explain how you can hear statements like this, and why you see these questions all the time about whether there’s a developer shortage, with employers saying there is and unemployed developers saying there is not. And it doesn’t require more than even a handful of new cohorts each year to actually be bad to give the impression to employers that most of them are bad.
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Imagine a graduating class of 100 students. 20 of these are great coders, 60 middling, 20 are terrible.
Imagine 10 employers, each searching for 20 employees.
100 people applying for 200 jobs. In the first, those 20 great coders get scooped up right away to the first job they apply for. As soon as they’re gone, the 60 middling coders are going right behind them, let’s say on average to their third choice. Now what happens? There are 20 people left, applying for 120 jobs. Each of these is fed up with the job search and applies to every job, which is 2,400 resumes being sent out. Assume this results in 240 interviews. Because these people are terrible, none of these goes well.
To review, 100 people. 20 only interviewed once. 60 interviewed an average of three times. 20 interviewed 12 times each. That’s 80 positive interviews resulting in offers, 120 lukewarm interviews where the employer told the candidate to review a few things and try again, and 2,400 interviews in which the candidate had no clue what they were doing.
Is this what’s happening? I don’t know, but it explain how you can hear statements like this, and why you see these questions all the time about whether there’s a developer shortage, with employers saying there is and unemployed developers saying there is not. And it doesn’t require more than even a handful of new cohorts each year to actually be bad to give the impression to employers that most of them are bad.
See Questions On Quora
Continue reading...
